Thanksgiving 2025 NFL action hits like a turkey-day touchdown – three mouthwatering matchups packed with playoff stakes, superstar returns, and gut-wrenching injuries that’ll flip the script. On November 27, tune into FOX for Packers vs Lions at 12:30 PM ET, CBS for Chiefs vs Cowboys at 4:30 PM ET, and NBC for Bengals vs Ravens at 8:20 PM ET. With averages over/under totals hitting a record 51.2 points (highest in 40 years per ESPN Research), expect fireworks, upsets, and cashouts. Joe Burrow’s epic comeback from turf toe headlines the night, but RB Isiah Pacheco’s return boosts KC while Tee Higgins sits out for CIN. Our expert picks (backed by FPI models and ATS trends) nail ATS winners, overs, and props – don’t bet without this guide. Who’s cashing your parlay? Let’s carve it up!
- Packers vs Lions (12:30 PM ET, FOX): NFC North Bloodbath – Detroit’s Revenge or Green Bay’s Sweep? The Lions (7-4) host the Packers (7-3-1) in a division decider that could crown the NFC North fave. Detroit snapped a seven-year Thanksgiving skid last year (23-20 over Bears), but GB stole Week 1 (27-13). Lions are 3-point faves (-2.5 spread, O/U 48.5 via DraftKings), but Packers are 1-4 ATS on road yet 4-1 as underdogs. Expert consensus: Lions win 30-24 but GB covers (+2.5 at -102 BetMGM). ESPN’s Seth Walder picks GB outright (23-17), citing Detroit’s 0-3 ATS in close lines. Injury alert: Packers RB Josh Jacobs (knee) is good to go after missing Week 12; Lions EDGE Aidan Hutchinson (ankle) questionable but trending up. Prop bet: Jordan Love over 1.5 passing TDs (-132 FanDuel) – he’s torched DET before. FPI gives DET 54% win probability by 1.5 points. Bet the over – last four GB road games cashed!
- Chiefs vs Cowboys (4:30 PM ET, CBS): Mahomes vs Dak – Super Bowl Preview or Dallas Upset Alert? Reigning AFC champs KC (8-3) invade Dallas (6-5) in a non-divisional clash that’s pure prime-time sizzle. Chiefs are 4.5-point road dogs (-4.5 spread, O/U 52.5), but they’re 1-4 ATS away (0-3 last three). Cowboys? 4-1 ATS as dogs this year, fresh off trading for DT Quinnen Williams to fortify vs Mahomes. Picks: Chiefs edge it 27-23 (Moody/ESPN), covering the spread – KC’s offense averages 28.7 PPG. But CBS model loves DAL +4.5, projecting a 20-13 squeaker. Injury bombs: Chiefs rule out G Trey Smith (ankle), TE Noah Gray (concussion), CB Chris Roland-Wallace (back) – huge OL blow! But RB Isiah Pacheco (knee) returns full-go after three weeks out. Cowboys WR George Pickens (knee/calf) limited but probable; LCB Caelen Carson (hamstring) game-time call. Prop: Patrick Mahomes under 1.5 passing TDs (+100) – DAL’s secondary feasts on road QBs. FPI: KC 63.6% win by 5.1. This screams underdog upset – bet DAL moneyline (+170)!
- Bengals vs Ravens (8:20 PM ET, NBC/Peacock): Burrow’s Redemption vs Lamar’s Rampage – AFC North Inferno! Burrow’s Bengals (5-6) limp into Baltimore (9-2) with slim playoff hopes, but his turf toe return (missed 10 weeks) ignites this divisional doozy. Ravens -6.5 faves (O/U 51.5), winners of five straight and 20-8 to overs since last year. Picks: BAL 31-24 (unanimous ESPN crew), covering easily – Lamar Jackson’s 7-4 over rate crushes rusty CIN. SportsLine model simulates 10K times: Ravens 68% win by 7.2, leaning over 53 points. Injury gut-punch: Bengals WR Tee Higgins out (concussion); EDGE Trey Hendrickson (hip) misses fifth straight. Ravens clean sheet: RB Justice Hill (neck) and DT Taven Bryan (knee) out, but depth holds. Prop: Joe Burrow over 225.5 pass yards (-110) – he’s 300+ in four of five vs BAL. Only CIN’s second Thanksgiving game (lost 2010); BAL’s third. Bet Ravens -6.5 (-110) – Burrow’s rusty, Lamar’s lit!
- Injury Report Bombshells: Who’s In, Out & Game-Changers for Your Bets Short week chaos: Chiefs get Pacheco back (full practice) for RB spark, but lose Smith/Gray/Roland-Wallace – Mahomes’ pocket crumbles? Bengals devastated sans Higgins (concussion protocol) and Hendrickson (hip) – Chase feasts alone? Packers clear Jacobs (knee off report), but Lions’ Hutchinson (ankle) and Packers CB Keisean Nixon (stinger) questionable. Ravens minimal: Hill/Bryan out, but no stars. ESPN: Overs hit 7-4 in BAL games; monitor Turpin/Odighizuwa (limited) for DAL returns. Fantasy heads: Stash Pacheco (RB18 upside), fade Higgins owners.
- Expert ATS Picks & Parlay Gold: Cash 11-1 Payouts on Turkey Day! Consensus ATS: Lions -2.5 (2/3 experts), Chiefs -4.5 (model lean), Ravens -6.5 (unanimous). Bold parlay (FOX Sports +1470 odds): Packers +2.5 / Cowboys +4.5 / Over 51.5 BAL-CIN / Mahomes under 1.5 TDs – $20 wins $314! SportsLine: Over in all three (49-53 projected points). Underdog value: Bengals +7 (Burrow magic?), but fade – Ravens roll. Wagertalk: +11.3 units YTD on NFL picks; tail their Thanksgiving locks.
- Betting Strategy: Overs, Props & Promos to Stuff Your Wallet With O/U averages at 51.2 (ESPN), hammer overs – Thanksgiving tradition! Top props: Love 250+ yards, Mahomes 2+ TDs, Burrow 1+ rushing score. Promos: FanDuel Bet $5 Get $150; DraftKings $200 bonus; BetMGM $1500 first-bet insurance. Sharp: Same-game parlays on Chiefs-Cowboys (Mahomes TD + DAL cover). Avoid: Lions moneyline – too close.
- TV Schedule & Where to Watch: Don’t Miss a Snap! FOX (Packers-Lions, local blackouts); CBS (Chiefs-Cowboys); NBC/Peacock (Bengals-Ravens, Madden alt-cast). Stream: NFL+, Fubo (free trial), Paramount+. SiriusXM radio nationwide. Black Friday bonus: Bears-Eagles 3 PM ET Prime – Eagles -7 faves.
This Thanksgiving tripleheader isn’t just football – it’s playoff futures, fantasy chaos, and betting bonanzas. Lions hold? Chiefs stumble? Burrow ball? Our picks say feast on Ravens -6.5 and the over trifecta. Who’s your lock? Comment below, bet smart, and happy Thanksgiving – may your parlays carve up the books!
NFL Thanksgiving 2025 explodes with Packers vs Lions revenge, Chiefs vs Cowboys Mahomes magic & Burrow’s Bengals return vs Ravens! Expert picks, ATS winners, key injuries (Pacheco back, Higgins out) & juicy odds – who upsets? Bet now, win huge on FOX/CBS/NBC tripleheader Nov 27!
NFL Thanksgiving 2025 schedule, nfl thanksgiving picks 2025, nfl thanksgiving odds, nfl thanksgiving injuries 2025, packers vs lions thanksgiving, chiefs vs cowboys odds, bengals vs ravens picks
nfl week 13 predictions, joe burrow return thanksgiving, isiah pacheco injury update, nfl ats picks thanksgiving, nfl thanksgiving betting guide, nfl thanksgiving tv schedule
Hashtags: #NFLThanksgiving2025 #PackersVsLions #ChiefsVsCowboys #BengalsVsRavens #NFLPicks #ThanksgivingOdds #JoeBurrowReturn #NFLInjuries #AtsPicks
